福利国家的挑战

De Baripedia

根据米歇尔-奥利斯(Michel Oris)的课程改编[1][2]

二十世纪是北方国家的一个重要转折点,开启了一个深刻的社会、经济和政治变革时代。这一时期,工业化的兴起和劳动力结构的变化尤为显著,促使这些国家逐步采用福利国家模式。这种模式有望扩大机会,加强对公民的保护,带来前所未有的繁荣前景。然而,它也带来了复杂的挑战,从金融不稳定到公共债务升级,从民粹主义抬头到收入差距扩大。因此,20 世纪被证明是一个进步与矛盾并存的时代。

尽管福利国家为许多公民提供了一个安全网,但它也引发了一系列问题。这些问题包括管理成本不断增加、产生系统依赖性的风险以及向异质人口提供服务所面临的挑战。本文探讨了这些问题,并讨论了上个世纪为解决这些问题而实施的战略。如今,福利国家的力量明显减弱,这反映出它在全球化世界中保护公民的能力正在下降。这种情况既反映了人们对福利国家的失望,也反映了仇外心理和民族主义紧张局势的加剧,标志着不同历史时期之间的重大断裂。

了解福利国家: 基础与原则

福利国家的历史基础可追溯到 19 世纪末 20 世纪初,这是一个以重大社会和经济变革为标志的关键时期。当时,各国政府开始认识到有必要保护工人免受与其职业相关的风险和日常生活中的危险。这种意识主要是由工业化的兴起推动的,工业化导致了艰苦的工作条件以及职业事故和职业病风险的增加。为了应对这些挑战,一些国家率先启动了旨在为工人提供保护的社会政策。这些政策包括引入工伤事故、疾病和失业保险。这些政策为现代社会保障制度奠定了基础,其中还包括退休金和医疗保险等福利。这些社会保障制度的资金来自社会保障缴款,一般从工人工资中扣除。这种筹资模式体现了团结互助的原则,即每个人都根据自己的经济能力缴费,以支持社会中最弱势的成员。这些早期举措标志着政府处理社会福利问题方式的一个决定性转折点,并为我们今天所知的福利国家奠定了基础。

福利国家是一个基本的政治概念,指的是国家承担主要责任保障公民社会福利的制度。这种模式涉及提供医疗和教育等重要的公共服务,确保所有人,无论其收入或社会地位如何,都能获得这些基本服务。此外,福利国家还提供一系列社会福利,包括失业救济金、家庭支助和养老金,在个人和家庭处于弱势或生活环境发生变化时提供支持。福利国家的基本目标之一是减少社会不平等。这通常是通过收入再分配政策来实现的,即富裕阶层为社会服务和福利提供更多资金。与此同时,福利国家通过保障所有公民的最低生活标准,其中可能包括住房支持措施或对最弱势群体的补贴,在预防贫困方面发挥着至关重要的作用。20 世纪 30 年代和 40 年代,为应对当时的经济危机和社会动荡,福利国家的概念在欧洲生根发芽。第二次世界大战后,许多国家认识到国家有必要在支持社会福利方面发挥更积极的作用,因而发展了更为发达的福利国家模式。自那时起,这种模式已成为许多发达国家的标准模式,尽管其程度和模式在不同国家有很大差异。如今,福利国家仍在不断发展,以应对当前的人口、经济和社会挑战。它仍然是当代政治和经济辩论中的一个核心话题,凸显了其在构建现代社会中的持续重要性。

就业危机及其对福利国家的影响

福利国家的危机确实是一个长期激烈辩论的主题,反映了世界各地许多社会制度所面临的挑战。这场危机的一个重要方面是它与就业危机的密切关系,就业危机给福利国家的机制和资源带来了巨大压力。就业危机的特点是失业率居高不下,工作越来越不稳定,导致越来越多的人依赖福利国家提供的服务和福利。这种情况凸显了现有制度的一些局限性和不足,特别是在满足日益增长的需求方面。失业率上升和工作不稳定不仅增加了社会计划的潜在受益者人数,而且也减少了缴费基数,因为工作和为社会福利提供资金的人越来越少。在此背景下,政府和决策者面临着复杂的两难境地。一方面,迫切需要为受就业危机影响的人们提供足够的支持。另一方面,他们必须管理预算和经济限制,同时寻求改革和加强福利国家制度的可持续解决方案。这就需要认真考虑如何更好地整合社会和经济政策,以有效应对人口不断变化的需求。可能的解决方案可以包括改革,以提高社会保护制度的效率和可持续性,刺激创造就业机会和工人培训的举措,以及减少不平等和支持职业过渡的措施。福利国家的危机与就业危机有着内在的联系,它带来了重大挑战,需要根据不断变化的全球社会经济形势采取创新的应对措施。

从历史上看,创新往往是创造就业的驱动力,为新产业和新经济活动铺平道路。这种动力可以弥补甚至超越因自动化或某些做法过时而失去的工作岗位。然而,在当前情况下,创新对就业的影响似乎变得更加复杂。其中一个主要的担忧是,最近的创新,尤其是技术和自动化方面的创新,可能会导致工作岗位的净减少。这些先进技术不仅可以取代手工和重复性工作,还可以取代某些需要较高技能的职能。这种趋势在低级工作中尤为明显,自动化可以以更低的成本和更高的效率取代简单的工作。这就提出了个人在经济进程中的功能以及社会如何适应这些变化的问题。工作受到自动化威胁的工人可能会发现自己没有直接的替代选择,从而加剧失业和不平等等社会和经济问题。

福利国家在现代生活中发挥着至关重要的作用,它为那些无法养活自己的人提供了一个基本的安全网。在贫困和失业率呈上升趋势、福利制度面临巨大压力的情况下,这一职能显得更加重要。在许多国家,对社会服务日益增长的需求往往超过了现有资源,这加剧了福利国家的危机。造成这种局面的部分原因是社会经济方面的挑战,如生活成本上升、工资停滞不前以及人口老龄化等人口变化。此外,最近的技术进步和全球化导致劳动力市场迅速转型,造成了新形式的工作不稳定。面对这些挑战,各国政府需要重新思考并改革其福利国家体系,使其更具可持续性、更有效率并适应当今的需求。这可能涉及调整服务的筹资和管理方式,更好地整合经济和社会政策以刺激创造就业,以及投资于教育和培训以满足不断变化的劳动力市场的需求。此外,在福利国家改革中考虑公平和社会公正问题也至关重要。这意味着要确保服务和福利的公平分配,确保所有人,尤其是社会中最弱势的群体都能享受到这些服务和福利。因此,福利国家的危机是一个复杂的问题,需要结合当前的经济、社会和人口现实,采取多维度的解决方案。各国政府在这一领域的创新和适应能力对于保障其公民未来的福祉和安全至关重要。

通过分析 1973 年危机对福利国家的影响,可以发现这一体系面临着双重挑战。这一时期标志着福利国家的管理和观念的一个关键转折点。从历史上看,福利国家的构想和发展是为了满足迫切的社会需求,特别是在经济危机和战争的背景下。然而,1973 年的经济危机带来了前所未有的挑战,考验着这些制度的稳健性和可持续性。危机对福利国家的第一个重大影响是对收入的影响。以失业率大幅上升为特征的就业危机直接影响了社会保障收入。鉴于福利国家的资金主要来自工人和雇主的缴款,失业率上升意味着可用的财政资源减少。这种情况给社会计划带来了资金问题,使其越来越依赖于国家补贴和公共债务。第二个挑战涉及福利国家的成本。随着失业率的上升,依赖社会福利,特别是失业救济和收入补助的人数不断增加。社会福利需求的增加给本已有限的资源带来了额外的压力,加剧了福利国家收支之间的不平衡。因此,1973 年的危机不仅减少了福利国家的收入,还增加了其支出,导致这些制度的管理出现赤字。这一时期凸显了福利国家易受经济波动影响的脆弱性,强调了对社会政策进行更灵活、更有弹性的管理的必要性。它还激发了关于改革福利国家的辩论,寻找使其在面对经济和人口挑战时更具可持续性的方法。

福利国家的顶峰与成就

In the years following the Second World War, the welfare state developed and flourished under the influence of Keynesian policy. This approach, based on the theories of economist John Maynard Keynes, argued that state intervention in the economy was necessary to regulate business cycles, stimulate demand in times of recession and reduce unemployment. Under this policy, the welfare state was seen as an essential means of promoting social welfare and equity. However, from the 1970s and especially after the economic crisis of 1973, a challenge to this model began to emerge. The political right, and later some factions of the left, gradually adopted a new orthodoxy in economic policy. This new approach emphasised fiscal discipline, deficit reduction, and the gradual withdrawal of the state from many areas of the economy. The shift to this fiscal orthodoxy marked a turning point for the welfare state. Austerity policies and budget cuts in social services became commonplace, motivated by the desire to reduce public spending and control inflation. These changes have led to a reduction in the benefits and services offered by the welfare state, as well as an increase in inequality and social tensions in many countries. Thus, the heyday of the welfare state coincided with the beginning of a period of questioning and restructuring, in which Keynesian principles gave way to a more conservative, balanced-budget approach. This transition profoundly influenced the way in which welfare systems were perceived and managed in the decades that followed.

A significant ideological shift in European economic policy took place, marked by a shift from Keynesian policy to German ordo-liberalism. Ordo-liberalism, with its emphasis on strict regulation and fiscal discipline, became a dominant force, profoundly influencing economic policy in Europe. According to the principles of ordo-liberalism, economic stability is achieved through the implementation of clear rules and strong regulation, particularly in the monetary sphere. The idea of budgetary orthodoxy, coupled with monetary orthodoxy, is at the heart of this approach. The aim is to maintain sound public finances, with particular emphasis on avoiding excessive budget deficits. Fiscal discipline is seen as essential to currency stability, with the underlying idea that an absence of government deficits contributes to a strong currency. The influence of ordo-liberalism is particularly evident in the economic management of the European Union. The Maastricht criteria, for example, which impose strict limits on Member States' budget deficits and public debt, reflect this economic philosophy. This contrasts with Keynesian policy, which advocated more active state intervention in the economy, particularly through public spending to stimulate demand in times of recession. Ordo-liberalism has therefore had a major influence on the way economic policies are formulated and implemented in Europe, playing a key role in shaping the continent's current economic policy, and to a large extent conditioning responses to economic crises and approaches to financial regulation. This predominance of ordo-liberalism has also had repercussions on the design and management of the welfare state, favouring fiscal prudence and monetary stabilisation to the detriment, at times, of social spending.

The period following the heyday of the welfare state has indeed seen a series of reforms, often driven by growing concerns about public debt. This marks a significant change in the way public debt is perceived and managed politically. In the 1980s, several European countries adopted Keynesian-inspired policies characterised by increased state intervention in the economy. These policies were generally aimed at stimulating economic growth and reducing unemployment through targeted public spending and economic regulation. However, this approach often led to an increase in public debt, partly due to larger budget deficits. As debt accumulated, governments began to question the long-term viability of this strategy. Public debt thus became a major political issue, leading to a gradual shift towards policies more focused on deficit reduction and debt control. This transition was partly influenced by the emergence of ordo-liberalism and neo-liberalism, which advocated greater fiscal discipline and a reduced role for the state in the economy. The reforms undertaken as part of this debt policy often involved cuts in public spending, including in welfare state programmes. These austerity measures have been justified by the need to reduce public debt and ensure long-term economic stability. However, they have also raised concerns about their impact on social welfare and the distribution of resources within society. As a result, public debt management has become a central aspect of economic policy, profoundly influencing the design and implementation of social and economic policies in Europe. This period has seen a significant shift in policy priorities, with increasing emphasis on financial stability and fiscal sustainability.

Contemporary Challenges and Critiques of the Welfare State

The evolution of France's budgetary situation after the 1973 crisis is a good illustration of how the budget deficit and public debt have become central issues, both in economic and political terms. Initially, the budget deficit and the accumulation of public debt were seen mainly as inevitable consequences of the economic policies put in place in response to crises. In France, after the 1973 oil crisis, the government pursued a counter-cyclical economic policy in line with Keynesian principles. The idea was to stimulate demand and employment through increased public spending, despite the fact that this would lead to a budget deficit. However, despite these efforts, the expected economic growth did not materialise as expected. Instead, France, like many other countries, has been faced with economic stagnation, high unemployment and weak growth. This has led to a steady increase in public debt, as government revenues have not been sufficient to cover increased spending. Over time, public debt has become a major political issue and subject of debate. Critics have pointed out that the continued accumulation of debt limits the government's ability to pursue effective policies and threatens long-term economic stability. On the other hand, defenders of public spending argued that such investment was necessary to support the economy and social welfare. This led to a questioning of Keynesian economic policies and to the adoption of stricter measures of fiscal discipline. The debt spiral in France, as in other countries, was a key factor in the shift towards economic policies focused on reducing deficits, stabilising debt and, in some cases, adopting austerity measures. France's post-1973 experience reflects a paradigm shift in economic management, where deficit reduction and debt control became central priorities, strongly influencing the economic and social policies of the following decades.

The 1980s marked a significant turning point in the perception and management of the welfare state, with the emergence of powerful criticisms that led to major reforms. These criticisms, often rooted in a neo-liberal perspective, called into question the founding principles and effectiveness of the welfare state. The first major criticism, voiced mainly by neoliberals, was that the welfare state consumed an excessive proportion of public funds without generating any corresponding wealth. This criticism argued that high social spending was not only economically inefficient, but could also have perverse effects, such as discouraging private investment and slowing economic growth. According to this view, governments should reduce their involvement in the economy and minimise public spending in order to foster an environment more conducive to private initiative and economic efficiency. The second criticism concerned the social effectiveness of the welfare state. Neo-liberals and other critics argued that welfare systems were inefficient and discouraged work and self-sufficiency. They argued that generous welfare state benefits could create dependency and reduce the incentive to work, leading to a "poverty trap" where individuals were locked into a cycle of welfare dependency. These criticisms led to substantial reforms in several countries, notably the United Kingdom and the United States. In the UK, Margaret Thatcher, elected in 1979, initiated a series of reforms aimed at reducing the role of the state in the economy, privatising many public companies and cutting social spending. Similarly, in the United States, President Ronald Reagan, elected in 1981, also implemented neo-liberal policies, reducing welfare state spending and promoting greater liberalisation of the economy. These changes symbolised the apogee of economic liberalism and marked a significant retreat from the welfare state model as it had been conceived and developed in the post-war period. These reforms had a profound and lasting impact on the structure and operation of social protection systems in the Western world.

Despite the adoption of economic policies geared towards liberalism in countries such as the United States and the United Kingdom, social spending in these countries has not necessarily fallen as might have been expected. In contrast, the Scandinavian countries, often cited as examples of robust welfare state models, have seen a reduction in social spending. In the United States and the United Kingdom, despite efforts to reduce the role of the state and public spending, growing social needs and structural challenges, such as an ageing population and persistent poverty, have continued to require high levels of social spending. This spending has been driven by the need to respond to persistent social problems, as well as by political and public pressure to maintain a certain level of social protection. In Scandinavia, the reduction in social spending can be explained by a combination of factors, including effective management of public finances, structural reforms to improve the efficiency of social services, and a commitment to the principles of an open market economy, while maintaining a strong social safety net. However, the dismantling or downsizing of welfare state systems in some countries has had significant social consequences. One of the most notable effects has been an increase in the poverty rate and a worsening of income inequalities. Cuts in social benefits and reduced investment in areas such as health and education have often increased economic and social disparities. These developments have highlighted the challenges inherent in striking a balance between economic efficiency, fiscal discipline and social responsibility. Thus, the history of the welfare state in this period reflects the complexity of social and economic policies and the tensions between the objectives of reducing expenditure and preserving social welfare.

Multidimensional analysis of poverty

Poverty is a multidimensional social condition that goes beyond a simple lack of financial resources. It also encompasses the lack of access to essential social and cultural resources, which limits the ability of individuals or groups to participate fully in society. The relative aspect of poverty is crucial. The definition and perception of what constitutes a 'normal' life varies considerably from one country to another and from one era to another. What is considered an acceptable standard of living in one society may be perceived as inadequate or precarious in another. As a result, poverty is often measured in relative terms, taking into account the specific socio-economic context of a given region or period.

In the social sciences, poverty analysis is used not only to assess the level of well-being of populations, but also to understand economic and social disparities within societies. This understanding is crucial to the design and implementation of effective public policies to combat poverty. Measures taken can include income redistribution policies, education and training programmes, public health initiatives, and economic development strategies aimed at creating employment opportunities and improving living conditions. In addition, the way in which poverty is measured and conceptualised has a direct impact on public perception of the problem and the priority given to solving it on political agendas. This underlines the importance of accurate data and relevant analytical approaches to understanding the nature of poverty and developing effective strategies to alleviate it.

The concept of the poverty line is a fundamental but complex element in socio-economic analysis. It refers to the level of income required to meet basic needs in a given society. However, determining this level is a difficult task, given that the definition of basic needs and their cost vary considerably from one context to another. The relative nature of poverty is a crucial aspect of this concept. The poverty line in a developed country differs greatly from that in a developing country, reflecting variations in living costs and societal norms. What is considered a decent standard of living in one region may be deemed insufficient elsewhere, making poverty a highly contextual condition. In addition, the methodology used to calculate the poverty line greatly influences the results. Different approaches exist, ranging from the use of a fixed percentage of national median income to assessments based on the cost of basic needs. This methodological diversity leads to differences in the measurement and perception of poverty. The challenge of measuring poverty is not limited to income, but also encompasses other aspects such as living costs, access to public services and overall quality of life. Poverty is not just a lack of monetary income; it also includes access to non-monetary resources, such as education and health, which are essential for a quality life. The concept of the poverty line is also the subject of intense debate and criticism. Some believe that current measures are too simplistic or do not take sufficient account of regional disparities and individual variations. Others call for a broader vision of poverty, encompassing wider dimensions of well-being and social exclusion, beyond simple income measures. Although the poverty line is a useful tool for assessing and comparing the economic well-being of populations, it must be seen as a contextual estimate, subject to variation and interpretation. To effectively combat poverty, it is crucial to recognise and embrace this complexity and relativity when formulating public policy.

In the United States, the poverty rate has fluctuated significantly since the late 1950s. In those years, around 22% of the population lived below the poverty line. This high proportion reflected the socio-economic challenges of the time, including income inequalities and limited access to quality health and social services for a large proportion of the population. However, in the years that followed, particularly up to the mid-1970s, there was a significant reduction in poverty, with the rate falling to 11%. This improvement can be attributed to a number of factors, including economic growth, the expansion of welfare state programmes, and health and education reforms. These efforts have helped to improve the standard of living of many Americans and reduce economic inequality. However, in the 1990s there was a deterioration, with the poverty rate rising to around 15%. This increase can be linked to a number of factors, including changes in the economic structure, the rising cost of living, and the limits of existing social and economic policies. When the poverty line is adjusted for inflation, the poverty rate of 22% in the 1950s was halved by the mid-1970s. However, recent trends suggest a return to the poverty levels of the 1950s, a worrying development that underlines the need for more effective policies to combat poverty. At the same time, in the European Union, an upward trend in poverty has been observed over the last 25 years. This may be due to a series of economic crises, austerity policies implemented in several countries, and the impact of globalisation and technological change on the labour market. This increase in poverty in Europe also highlights the importance of robust economic and social policies to guarantee the security and well-being of citizens. These trends indicate that, although significant progress has been made in the fight against poverty, many challenges remain. They underline the importance of a comprehensive and sustained approach to tackling the root causes of poverty and ensuring a decent standard of living for all.

Dynamics and Trends in Socio-Economic Inequality

The rise in poverty observed in many societies is intrinsically linked to the increase in inequality. This relationship highlights the complexity of today's socio-economic challenges and the importance of an integrated approach to solving them.

One of the major causes of growing inequality is globalisation and technological change. These phenomena have reshaped economies, creating new opportunities for wealth but also contributing to the disappearance of certain jobs. These developments have often favoured highly skilled workers, exacerbating the income gap between different sections of the population. At the same time, those who do not have access to adequate training or the necessary economic opportunities find themselves lagging behind, reinforcing inequalities.

Tax and social policies also play a crucial role in managing inequality. Progressive tax systems and targeted social spending can help to reduce inequalities, while policies that favour the better-off and cut back on social programmes can exacerbate them. In this sense, the way in which governments choose to allocate resources and tax citizens has a direct impact on the distribution of wealth and, by extension, on poverty rates.

Furthermore, wage stagnation for low-income workers, combined with substantial increases for top managers and specialised professionals, contributes to an unequal distribution of wealth. This wage disparity reinforces economic segregation and limits the opportunities for low-income individuals to rise above the poverty line.

Access to education and opportunities is also a key factor in the fight against inequality and poverty. Quality education and equal opportunities for all are essential to breaking the cycle of poverty and ensuring a fairer distribution of wealth. Lack of access to these resources can perpetuate poverty and inequality across generations.

Inequalities Since the Industrial Revolution: A Historical Context

Between the 1850s and the 1930s, many societies experienced significant improvements in living conditions. This period, marked by rapid industrialisation and technological progress, brought about profound changes in the way people lived and worked. Although this era was characterised by considerable social and economic disparities, it also saw the emergence of new jobs, improved infrastructure and greater access to goods and services previously inaccessible to large sections of the population.

The period from 1930 to 1970 was particularly crucial in reducing poverty. The rise of the consumer society, combined with the application of the Fordist model of mass production, led to a substantial improvement in living standards. Fordism, characterised by standardised production and high wages, gave the middle class access to a wider range of goods. At the same time, the development of the welfare state, with transfer incomes such as pensions, unemployment benefits and social assistance, played a key role in reducing poverty and stabilising the economy. However, since the 1970s, the situation has changed significantly. Inequalities have tended to increase, a phenomenon often attributed to factors such as globalisation, technological change, and economic and fiscal policies. This period has also been marked by more uncertain economic growth and increased challenges for the funding of the welfare state. The rising cost of social services, combined with sometimes limited tax resources, has posed considerable challenges to maintaining the level of social benefits.

The financing of the welfare state has become a central issue of political economy, involving debates on resource allocation, taxation, and the balance between market policies and state intervention. This situation underlines the need for prudent and innovative economic and social management to meet the changing needs of societies and to ensure a fair distribution of wealth. This historical evolution reflects the fluctuations and ongoing challenges in the fight against poverty and inequality, underlining the importance of adapted and responsive policies to meet these challenges.

Recent trends in inequality: a contemporary analysis

The wealthiest 5% of US households saw a spectacular rise in their incomes, with an increase of 81% after adjusting for inflation. This income growth for the richest contrasts sharply with that for lower income groups. For example, the poorest 20% of households saw their incomes rise by just 3% over this period. This disparity indicates not only a growing concentration of wealth, but also a widening economic gap between rich and poor.

At the bottom end of the economic scale, the situation is even more worrying. One in ten Americans has a lower income than in 1977, suggesting a deterioration in economic conditions for a significant proportion of the population. This stagnation or decline in income for the poorest can be attributed to a variety of factors, such as changes in the structure of the labour market, the decline in the value of minimum wages, and economic and tax policies. For the middle classes, which make up around 60% of the US population, the increase in income has been relatively modest, with an increase of just 8% compared with 1977. Although this represents growth, it is small compared to that of the upper strata of society. At the top end of the scale, the scenario is very different. The richest 20% of Americans have seen their income rise by 43% compared with 1977, and for the top 10% the increase is even more marked, with a 115% explosion in income over the same period. These figures illustrate a considerable accumulation of wealth among the most affluent. These trends show that economic inequality has increased in the US over this period, with substantially higher economic gains for the richest compared to the middle classes and the poorest. This dynamic highlights important questions about economic equity, social mobility, and the policies needed to address these growing inequalities.

Key Factors in the Rise of Inequality: Understanding the Deep Causes

The reality of rising inequality is widely acknowledged, although there are some exceptions. One of the major factors behind this rise in inequality is the retreat of the welfare state. In many countries, cuts in social spending, the privatisation of public services and reductions in social security benefits have contributed to a more unequal distribution of wealth. These policies have often been justified by the need to reduce budget deficits and promote economic efficiency. However, they have also had the effect of reducing safety nets for the most vulnerable populations and reducing income redistribution, thereby exacerbating inequality and poverty.

The globalisation of the labour market is another important factor. It has led to an intensification of competition on a global scale, putting workers from different countries in competition with each other. This competition has often favoured countries with lower labour costs, leading to company relocations and de-industrialisation in certain regions, particularly in developed countries. These changes have had a significant impact on jobs and wages, particularly in the manufacturing sectors, contributing to an increase in income inequality. In addition, advances in transport and logistics have made it easier and cheaper to move production around the world. This has enabled companies to maximise their profitability by taking advantage of differences in production costs between countries, but it has also contributed to the loss of jobs in certain sectors and regions, exacerbating deindustrialisation.

These combined factors - the decline of the welfare state, the globalisation of the labour market, and changes in production and transport - have contributed to an increase in economic inequality and a deepening of social divisions. They pose considerable challenges for policymakers, who must find ways to balance the benefits of globalisation and economic innovation with the need to protect workers and reduce inequalities.

There is a major transformation in the structure of the modern labour market, marked by a shift to a society dominated by service sector jobs. This change has profound implications for the nature of jobs and the dynamics of the labour market. Indeed, the transition to a service-based economy brings with it a major challenge in terms of matching skills. The skills and expertise required in the industrial sector often differ from those required in the service sector. This divergence creates a gap where many workers, particularly those from industry, find themselves without the necessary qualifications to adapt easily to the new jobs being created in the service sector. This skills mismatch can lead to structural unemployment and limit the opportunities for these workers to re-enter the labour market. In addition, the current dynamics of the labour market are tending towards dualisation, with jobs increasingly concentrated at the extremes of the spectrum in terms of skills and pay. On the one hand, we are seeing the creation of highly-skilled, well-paid jobs, and on the other, an increase in low-skilled, poorly-paid jobs. This dualisation contributes to economic and social polarisation, with fewer job opportunities for the middle class.

Migrants, in particular, can find themselves at either end of this spectrum. Some work in high-skilled, well-paid jobs, while others find themselves in low-paid, insecure employment. This situation reflects both the varying levels of skills and education of migrants and the types of opportunities available to them in host economies. The transition to a post-industrial society is therefore one of the main causes of these upheavals. This evolution has not only transformed the nature of work and the skills required, but has also reorganised the socio-economic structure of societies. To meet these challenges, it is crucial to develop appropriate education and training strategies, as well as policies to support the creation of quality jobs and facilitate the transition of workers to new sectors of activity.

Annexes

References